emini SP500 23rd May 2019 – pre-open from ChartProfit
Last week there was a rejected probe of 2894, the 2mn poc Resistance. On Tuesday there was a rejected probe of 2871, the v minor poc. In the short term if price is printing below 2871, it is in a weak position. Pre-open today ES has printed below 2830. There is Support at 2821, the 5mn poc.
Stocks>50dyma numbers: Nyse 41% (from 44%), Nasdaq 39% (from 41%), R2000 41% (from 45%). Numbers >50 are supportive.
Sentiment: My version of the Rydex Assets Ratio was lower at 17.28, the lowest since 27th Feb. The ratio reached 23.93 on the 7th May, a seven month high. On 9th Jan the ratio fell to 5.54, the lowest since July 2016.
Bonds – TLT: 03/28 TLT printed its highest level since December ’17. TLT is closed on Wednesday close to that high and futures indicate a higher open for TLT today. In the longer-term as long as TLT holds above the 121 major Support it is in a strong position.
Dollar Index: 04/25 the index reached its highest level since May 2017, breaking above the highs of December and March. Currently DXY is printing close to that high. In the LT as long as the chart is printing above the major at 94.80 it is in a strong position.
Gold: GLD – closed on last four days below 121, the major poc.
Oil: USO – tested 11.41, the Major Poc Support on 03/08. Formed a higher low at that Support and rallied strongly. On 04/23 closed at its highest level since October but has retraced from there. First Level Support is at 12.79, the 18mn – that level has been tested in May and held, but Wednesday closed below the Support and futures indicate USO will open below it today.
GBPUSD: is in a weak position below 1.3130, the maj poc. The Support at 1.2915, the 1/2R off this year’s low, was broken early last week and chart has fallen sharply from there. Today has printed its lowest level since early January.
EURUSD: in April printed its lowest level since June 2017 having broken below March’s low (1.1174). Price below 1.1310 keeps the chart in a weak LT position.
USDJPY: the major poc is at 111.17. Chart is currently in a weak position below that level.
