Daily analysis - Stock Market, Bonds, Forex and more
Thursday’s Value Area was generated just above the 12mn VAL at 6670 (dashed line on char). ES needs to bounce back – more time around 6670 and a Control could develop at that level which would be a further negative.
read this post on Substack
In any event, I won’t look at new longs below the current Major Control at 6853, see note 03/05. In the ST, ES needs to recover the 12-day Control at 6790.5 to give even a minor positive indication.
ES has generated 5 consecutive Value Areas entirely below the Major Control at 6853, see chart, which is not great. 03/05 I wrote ‘I won’t look at new longs currently below the Control‘(6853). It’s a weak position in the longer time-frame.
read this post on Substack
In the short term, ES has to recover the 11-day Control at 6790.5 to give us even a minor positive indication. No idea how this resolves but weak position for now.
I wrote yesterday 'Bullish would be ES recovering the 6853 Major Control'. You can see in yesterday's RTH that ES approached that Resistance but did not exceed it. 03/05 I wrote 'I won't look at new longs currently below the Control' (6853). That … [Continue reading]
I wrote 03/06 that the more time spent around the 6mn VAL (dashed) 'the more likely we go lower'. Although there was no obvious Support I could identify I can see from same dataset that the 12mn VAL at 6670 was valid and was tested briefly on Monday, … [Continue reading]
03/05 I wrote 'I won't look at new longs currently below the Control' (6853). I wrote on Friday that the more time spent around the 6mn VAL (dashed) 'the more likely we go lower - Bulls would hope for another bounce here'. read this post on … [Continue reading]
I wrote yesterday that 'Today, price relative to 6866.5 is worth monitoring'. That level was briefly tested early in the session but rejected. I also wrote 'I won't look at new longs currently below the Control' (6853). Yesterday's Value Area was … [Continue reading]
Since mid-February price has been oscillating around and centred close to the Major Control at 6853. Even after the recent decline on global news price has found its way back to that level after a brief test of the 6mn VAL (dashed) on Tuesday proving … [Continue reading]
I wrote yesterday 'There is a 6mn VAL just below 6740 (dashed line) but no obvious Support'. In Tuesday's RTH there was a test of that VAL and ES rallied. Overnight the Major Control at 6853 has been tested twice but not exceeded. This would be an … [Continue reading]
ES opened Monday's RTH close to 6810 in a weak position below the Major Control at 6853 but quickly rallied. Monday's Value Area was generated entirely above that level, see yesterday's highlighted comment on chart. read this post on … [Continue reading]
Price action over the last 8 trading days has been within the two levels given pre-RTH on 19th Feb, see highlighted note on chart. I added on 20th Feb, 'a break above/below those bands (6956 and 6853) might well indicate the next directional move' - … [Continue reading]