emini 13th September 2019 – pre-open from ChartProfit
Since 4th September Value Areas have been generated entirely above 2927, an indication of strength. As long as ES holds above that level it is in a strong position. Aggressive Buying (green) was marked on Wednesday, a further indication of strength.
Sentiment: My version of the Rydex Assets Ratio was slightly lower at 17.76. Last week the ratio fell to 14.0 which was the lowest since 10th June.
Bonds – TLT: 07/31 TLT spiked above 132.80, the maj Value Area High and rallied powerfully reaching a new high on 08/28. Has retraced sharply from there.
Dollar Index: w/e 06/14 the three year poc migrated to 97.00 – now Support. The July high was tested last week but the index is currently printing below that level.
Gold: Earlier this month GLD rallied strongly to its highest level since early 2013. Retraced from there and is now printing below 143.0, the 1/2R off 2011 high and is in a weaker position.
Oil: USO – closed on Thursday very close to 11.41, the major poc. Bulls would want to see USO printing time above that important level.
GBPUSD: The 1/2R off this year’s low at 1.2910, was broken in mid-May and chart declined quickly from there. In July the chart broke below 1.2481, the 30mn poc and fell sharply into a low in early August. Has now rallied back and looks set to probe that level.
EURUSD: in early July the chart broke back below 1.1310, the Major poc which put EURUSD back in a weaker position. Last week the chart printed its lowest level since May 2017.
