emini S&P 500 18th February 2020 – pre-open
Dayframe: 14dy poc has migrated to 3371. Price to that level is worth monitoring today.
Aggressive Buying (green-at-top) was marked early last week. The first sign of minor weakness would be a day-session close below 3323 (dashed line), the low of that Buying day. The minor (6wk) poc Support is 3324.5 which is close. Time below that level would indicate a test of 3249.0, the 4mn poc. First sign of LT weakness would be Effective Selling marked below that poc.
Stocks>50dyma numbers: Nyse 52%, Nasdaq 51%, R2000 46%. Numbers >50 are supportive.
Sentiment: My version of the Rydex Assets Ratio ended the week at 26.72. On 12/27 the index reached 28.62, the highest reading in my database. Only twice before has the ratio printed above 26. Once in Jan 2018 and the market sold-off quickly, and once in Aug 2018 after which the market traded sideways for a month and then sold-off.
Bonds – TLT: The 1/2R Support off August high, is at 141.69. Recent price action indicates that a higher low above that level may be forming.
Dollar Index: is printing above 98.0, the 1/2R Resistance off Oct high, in a strong position. Approaching the Major VAH at 99.50 which has previously rejected price.
Gold: GLD closed on 01/31 at its highest level since April 2013. GLD closed on Friday close to that level.
Oil: USO has declined this year and is now printing below 11.41, the major poc in a weak position.
GBPUSD: Last week the major poc has migrated lower, back to 1.2933 (from 1.3128). Price below that level would be a weak position. GBPUSD is currently printing up from that Support.
EURUSD: Earlier in the month there was a rejected probe above 1.1216, the major poc Resistance. EURUSD declined from there and broke the Support at 1.1058, the 1/2Range off October low. Has now broken below that low and has today printed its lowest level since April2017.
Dollar Index: is printing above 98.0, the 1/2R Resistance off Oct high, in a strong position. Approaching the Major VAH at 99.50 which has previously rejected price.
Gold: GLD closed on 01/31 at its highest level since April 2013. GLD closed on Friday close to that level.
Oil: USO has declined this year and is now printing below 11.41, the major poc in a weak position.
GBPUSD: Last week the major poc has migrated lower, back to 1.2933 (from 1.3128). Price below that level would be a weak position. GBPUSD is currently printing up from that Support.
EURUSD: Earlier in the month there was a rejected probe above 1.1216, the major poc Resistance. EURUSD declined from there and broke the Support at 1.1058, the 1/2Range off October low. Has now broken below that low and has today printed its lowest level since April2017.
