posted 9.27 a.m. est Pre-open Monday 19th April From last week’s ebook “let’s assume higher until price gives us an indication of weakness. Marking Significant Sellers on the ES profile below 1183.50 would be a start.” 1183.50 is now the 15day poc and is again First Level S/R at the start of this week. Since […]

posted 9.28 a.m. est Pre-open Friday 16th April First Level S/R is the 5day poc at 1195. Wednesday’s green-at-top high was exceeded as expected but there’s too much  complacency and a lot of public Bulls (see below).  I’m staying bullish for now as there is still no sign of the Significant Sellers but becoming increasingly […]

posted 9.28 a.m. est Pre-open Thursday 15th April Significant Buyers were active again on Wednesday, Aggressively (green-at-top) auctioning ES to a new high.  The high of a green-at-top day is tested during the following session 80% of the time.  Still no Response from the Sellers. First Level S/R is the very minor 4day poc at […]

posted 9.25 a.m. est Pre-open Wednesday 14th April Significant Buyers were active again on Tuesday.  There has been no Significant Selling marked since 19th March.  Buyers Responded just above First Level support at 1183.50 and were active again in the p.m. aggressively closing ES strong.  This is Buyers obviously still in control of the dayframe. […]

posted 9.27 a.m. est Pre-open Tuesday 13th April From yesterday’s ebook “let’s assume higher until price gives us an indication of weakness. Marking Significant Sellers on the ES profile below 1183.50 would be a start.” Monday generated a higher but very narrow Value Area and low volume.  Supporting Charts: Bonds (TLT) have closed higher for […]

posted 9.22 a.m. est Pre-open Monday 12th April Friday’s First Level S/R at 1183.50 proved support.  Going into this week that 5day poc is the first reference level.  The’re’s enough Bulls for a top (see below) but ES is still showing typical Buyers-in-control behaviour. As I said last week “First indication of a trend change […]

posted 9.25 a.m. est Pre-open Friday 9th April I said yesterday that the “First indication of a trend change comes when poc levels become resistance rather than support”.  That did not happen on Thursday.  ES spent the whole day rallying (after an early test of the previous day’s low) back to the minor poc and […]

posted 4.30 a.m. est Pre-open Thursday 8th April There was no test of Tuesday’s green-at-top high on Wednesday.  80% of the time a green-at-top high gets tested the following day.  Also, Wednesday’s low was lower than Tuesday’s and it’s rare to see the low of a green-at-top day broken the following day. So there are […]

posted 9.25 a.m. est Wednesday 7th April There was Aggressive Buying (green-at-top) on Tuesday.  Wider (but overlapping) Value Area and increased volume (although volume was below average). Green-at-top strongly indicates that Tuesday’s high at 1188 will be tested.  Longframe: Sentiment indicators are getting very stretched, there are various negative divergences with overbought oscillators and price […]

Tuesday 6th April New high this week for ES.  Today heading up towards the 1190 target. Sentiment: AAII Bulls up from 32.4 to 41.3%; Bears down from 34.7 to 31.2%.  Other public polls I follow have also shown increase in bullishness. ISEE (equity only) index recorded five consecutive days above 200 with Monday at 276 […]