emini analysis 26th September 2017 – pre-open from Chartprofit
The one month poc at 2503 capped the high of Thursday’s session, see previous, highlighted comments. This is the level to watch – price printing time above this minor Resistance would be a ST positive.
Minor Support/Resistance = 2503 (1mn poc)
First Level LT Support = 2464.00 (3mn poc)
Sentiment: My version of the Rydex Assets Ratio was slightly higher at 9.93. On 08/22 the ratio reached 15.64 which is the highest in the database. The ratio reaching a new high has historically been a warning for the market.
Stocks>50dyma numbers: Nyse 67% (from 66%), Nasdaq 63% (from 64%), R2000 68% (unch). Numbers >50 are supportive.
Bonds: TLT – since mid-May TLT has been printing above 121.63, the 8mn poc, in a strong price location. 09/08 TLT reached its highest level since November but fell back from there to print a five week low last week.
Dollar Index: 07/14 chart broke below the Support at 95.57, the 2yr poc, and then fell sharply – 09/08 printed its lowest level since early 2015. Resistance now at 93.41 (3mn poc).
Gold: 09/07 GLD printed its highest level since September – has retraced from there. Major poc is at 119.84 – the important LT Support.
Oil: USO – the major poc is at 10.14. Price had been printing above that level in a stronger price location for a few days and was strongly higher on Monday reaching its highest level since late May.
GBPUSD: in August chart tested, then consolidated above 1.2884, the 5mn poc, which put it in a strong price location. Having broken out above the August high two weeks ago, GBPUSD accelerated higher to print its highest level since June 2016. Has retraced a little from there.
EURUSD: in early July EURUSD found higher low Support at 1.1329, the maj poc and rallied strongly from there. 09/08 printed its highest level since Jan 2015 but has retraced from there printing a 22day low today.
USDJPY – Key Chart: 111.30 is the 2year poc – for six days chart has been printing above that level which is now Support. Stronger price location.
click to enlarge graphic