Daily analysis - Stock Market, Bonds, Forex and more
ES rallied back above 5771.50 at the end of last week, see Friday's note on chart. Overnight that level (now Support) has been tested. Negative scenario at the start of this week would be a break back below that Support indicating further weakness, … [Continue reading]
Pre-open today ES is printing back above 5771.50 and as long as that level holds it is in a stronger position (see yesterday's note). A break back below would indicate further weakness. … [Continue reading]
On Tuesday ES broke below 5771.50 First Support and on Wednesday this level became Resistance, see chart. Not great price action. As I wrote on 09/26 'Time below that level would be first sign of weakness.' Bulls would want to see 5771.50 recovered … [Continue reading]
Technical oscillators on the Weekly Charts, e.g. the popular Relative Strength Index (RSI), have been negatively diverging with price action over the past few weeks, see weekly SPY chart below. Personally, I think these 'indicators' are of … [Continue reading]
On Monday ES dipped briefly below First Support at 5771.50 but recovered quickly. For 8 days ES has been trading in a tight range, and generating narrow individual Value Areas, day to day. This often precedes a strong directional move that … [Continue reading]
First Support moved to 5771.50 on 09/25, see note 09/26. That has held so far. From note 09/24 'Price above 5830 though and the trend might start to get exhausted'. Effective Selling was last marked 09/03 - nothing since then. … [Continue reading]
First Support (1 month) moved up to 5771.50. Time below that level would be first sign of weakness. As I wrote on Tuesday, 'Price above 5830 though and the trend might start to get exhausted'. … [Continue reading]
On Thursday I wrote that First Support is at 5696 (Dec contract). As long as ES holds that level I said that further upside would be indicated. Price above 5830 though and the trend might start to get exhausted. … [Continue reading]
On Tuesday I wrote, It is now important for Bulls that ES recovers 5635 but time above that level would indicate further upside. That was based on the Sep contract and ES is printing above that level in a stronger position. For the Dec contract … [Continue reading]
Development - as of Friday the 5mn Control has moved to 5635. Following that development, upside targets are less clear or reliable, and best Support I have is back at the 1/2R at 5420. It is now important for Bulls that ES recovers 5635 (pre-RTH ES … [Continue reading]