Daily analysis - Stock Market, Bonds, Forex and more
Now following Dec contract. On Thursday there was a rejected test of the 3957 (2mn) Support (arrowed) - ES rallied from there and ended the week strong. There is LT Resistance at 4152 (7mn). Price above that level would indicate strength on that … [Continue reading]
On Thursday there was an early, rejected test of the 3957 (2mn) Support, see yesterday's note, and ES rallied above the Resistance at 3984 (1/2R off June low). That's a solid performance on the daily timeframe. On the longer timeframe Resistance … [Continue reading]
ES testing the Resistance at 3984, the 1/2R off the June low (dashed line). Time above that level would be a stronger ST position. Interestingly, the 2mn migrated to 3957 and is potential Support today. Failure here and downside target is still … [Continue reading]
ES failed to recover 4152 (7mn Control) late Aug and same now with 3984, the 1/2R off the June low (dashed line on chart). Weak price action & weak position. I expect 3816 to be tested if ES remains below 3984. … [Continue reading]
LT: ES is in a weak position below 4152 (7mn Control). First Level Resistance is 3984, the 1/2R off the June low (dashed line). ST: If ES fails to hold minor Support 3932.5 (1mn Control) I would expect a test of 3816. … [Continue reading]
ES has broken below 3984, the 1/2R off the June low (dashed line) and is now in a further weakened position. This level is now Resistance. Always watch the 1/2R off a low. … [Continue reading]
ES remains in a weak position below 4152 (7mn Control). On Tuesday price was accepted (time) close to the VAL at 4029 and ES fell further, see yesterday's note. Today a quick rejection of a test below 3960 might set up a rally but I'm not … [Continue reading]
Firstly, please see yesterday's note (on chart). ES is in a weak position if it prints below 4152 (7mn Control). The Value Area Low of the current price distribution (that began in July) is at 4029 - and could Support price for a bounce back to … [Continue reading]
Value Area, 08/26, was generated below the 4147-4157 Major Control area, which puts ES in a weak position, see Friday's note. If Bears are able to push price lower from here, away from the Control, it would be Aggressive on the longer time-frame and … [Continue reading]
Surprisingly, for me at least, ES generated a Value Area entirely above the 4147-4157 band, see yesterday's note. I thought we'd see a tighter range closer to 4152 until Jerome Powell spoke today. Aggressive Buying (green) was also marked yesterday. … [Continue reading]